Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 8.576119 9.522847 10.557278 11.775959 13.178170 14.747799 16.647257
2025-12-07 7.011363 8.197756 9.582727 11.333855 13.510125 16.154014 19.652724
2025-12-14 6.003708 7.255291 8.780330 10.801146 13.447918 16.853090 21.660161
2025-12-21 5.388803 6.687441 8.325778 10.582448 13.671610 17.846630 24.086051
2025-12-28 5.358501 6.837237 8.772468 11.551165 15.542974 21.242586 30.333718
2026-01-04 5.081190 6.624195 8.702053 11.785212 16.389721 23.267239 34.854548
2026-01-11 4.681007 6.204723 8.302715 11.497348 16.418465 24.042492 37.482847
2026-01-18 4.505553 6.079690 8.299760 11.777165 17.320598 26.268475 42.882378
2026-01-25 4.216703 5.768971 7.999416 11.571444 17.422868 27.185478 46.101055
2026-02-01 3.974194 5.507475 7.749399 11.415731 17.579483 28.196677 49.646342
2026-02-08 3.748275 5.254905 7.492923 11.223440 17.646846 29.045555 53.004953
2026-02-15 3.533441 5.005362 7.223073 10.984221 17.603348 29.676712 56.014897
2026-02-22 3.368442 4.828758 7.065247 10.935135 17.922059 31.088143 61.124392
2026-03-01 3.141981 4.544546 6.719209 10.539863 17.574267 31.168161 63.290828
2026-03-08 2.916584 4.249707 6.337845 10.053207 17.006720 30.733270 64.160023
2026-03-15 2.767280 4.067602 6.129221 9.853465 16.962771 31.365297 67.764819
2026-03-22 2.835044 4.236467 6.509966 10.737611 19.121737 36.991102 85.636478
2026-03-29 2.774653 4.191633 6.525667 10.950951 19.957260 39.836674 96.874688
2026-04-05 2.637472 4.012166 6.298732 10.688540 19.774087 40.294557 101.274946
2026-04-12 2.594377 3.988073 6.340608 10.943618 20.718815 43.596603 115.448486
2026-04-19 2.484414 3.844889 6.163334 10.756100 20.675852 44.447262 121.952147
2026-04-26 2.388433 3.721323 6.014517 10.614111 20.720070 45.529449 129.617526
2026-05-03 2.293488 3.595376 5.854815 10.438704 20.670505 46.359935 136.681723